Graduation Semester and Year
2014
Language
English
Document Type
Dissertation
Degree Name
Doctor of Philosophy in Finance
Department
Finance
First Advisor
John David Diltz
Abstract
This dissertation examines the long-run linkage among the equity markets and sectors of the NAFTA economies by employing Cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) framework. In addition, I also seek to identify the short-run & long-run causality and the direction of adjustment factor among the sectors of the US, Canadian and Mexican markets. Furthermore, I develop a multivariate model to examine the long-run impact of exchange rates on the linkage among the NAFTA markets & sectors. In addition, I also investigate the impact of US trade flow on the causal relationship it has with that of the Canadian & Mexican markets and sector indices.My overall findings reflect existence of diversification opportunities in the NAFTA markets. However in many cases, I do find evidence of short-run and long-run linkage among the market & sectors of the US economy with that of the market & sectors of the Canadian and Mexican economies, thus, reflecting fewer diversification opportunities available across sectors. Additionally, I also find strong evidence of exchange rates having an influence over the long run relationship among the sectors and market indices of the NAFTA countries. Furthermore, I also discover evidence of short run causality between the US trade and the market and sector indices of Canada and Mexico.
Disciplines
Business | Finance and Financial Management | Real Estate
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-Share Alike 4.0 International License.
Recommended Citation
Khan, Aamir, "Cointegration, Causality And Price Discovery In The NAFTA Markets: A Study Of Sector Indices And Trade Flow Data From The Perspective Of US Markets" (2014). Finance and Real Estate Dissertations. 7.
https://mavmatrix.uta.edu/financerealestate_dissertations/7
Comments
Degree granted by The University of Texas at Arlington